Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +23 (75-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marland Smith * | 40 | 5-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Lucas Nutt * | 30 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Allison * | 29 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Cameron Butler * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Leon Powell * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Brister | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Waylon Jones | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Zach House | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Terry * | 34 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| John Fraley * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| TyShwan Edmondson * | 30 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Brown * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Will Triggs * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Justin Blake | 19 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Marcel Williams | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Tyrone Caldwell | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Melvin Baker | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Matt Hasse | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alton Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter