Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wells * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Mike Groselle * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Austin Dahn * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Zach Urbanus * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Bo Holston * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Bryan Streeter | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| DeVontae Wright | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cosmo Morabbi | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Eykyn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Reynolds | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Sims * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Omar Carter * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 32 | - |
| Andre Williamson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Nathan Healy * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J.R. Archer * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Breeze | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Marcus Wright | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Petey Hausley | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
* = starter