Model Predictions
| Model | Prairie View A&M Panthers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +7 (68-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Prairie View A&M Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trant Simpson | 38 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Duwan Kornegay | 29 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Michael Griffin | 28 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -2 | +10.3 |
| Tim Meadows | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +4.6 |
| Michael Webb | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -3.4 |
| Cortney Bell | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +10.7 |
| Brandon Webb | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Chris Sights | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Jeff Wherry | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Aron Walker | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +8.3 |
| Beloved Rogers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.5 |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tramaine Butler | 37 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 6-10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | -6.5 |
| Ivory White | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | -1.7 |
| Jeffery Middlebrooks | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5.8 |
| Kenderek Washington | 25 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -9.5 |
| Chris Duncan | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Tramayne Moorer | 20 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -7.6 |
| Robert Sanders | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -10.7 |
| Dwayne Harvey | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Ryan Watts | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
* = starter