Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.8% | 23.2% | -6.6 | ✗ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +17 (74-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogide * | 30 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 22 | - |
| D. Green * | 30 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| A. Nigon * | 26 | 2-12 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| G. Smith * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Franklin * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| P. Hornung | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| W. Eikmeier | 22 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| A. McFarland | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Carr | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Bell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Sabas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fletcher * | 37 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 36 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| E. Washington * | 35 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| T. Fow * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Brooks | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Z. Bohannon | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Stewart | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Brakeville | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Green | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter