Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles -2 (51-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Williams Jr. * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | +3.2 |
| David Jeune * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +10.5 |
| Brad Haugabrook * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Jerron Granberry * | 25 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Andy Diaz * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -9.9 |
| Parker Smith | 26 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | -3.6 |
| Matt Sauey | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -4.5 |
| Will Wilson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Charles McRoy | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.2 |
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Banks * | 37 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Sherwood Brown * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +1.7 |
| Marlon Rivera * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Kevin Cantinol * | 16 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Chad Lutkenhaus * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.7 |
| Christophe Varidel | 34 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +1.8 |
| Tim Snyder | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Chase Fieler | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +6.6 |
| Hunter Miller | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.8 |
* = starter