Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | -1.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +6 (73-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Lewis | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Justin Clark | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| John Wilkins | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Alex Rubin | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jon Ekey | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Austin Hill | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Blake Mishler | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kenyon Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Trey Blue | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colt Ryan | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 41 | - |
| Kavon Lacey | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Clint Hopf | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ned Cox | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Harris | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Denver Holmes | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Lewis Jones | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Troy Taylor | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Jahr | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Peeler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Pieter van Tongeren | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter