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Illinois State Redbirds 67
@
Evansville Purple Aces 73
2011-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 62.7% 37.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% - ✗
Margin 58.7% 41.3% -1.9 ✗ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% - ✓
Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 16.8% 83.2% - ✓

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +6 (73-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lewis 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 5 12 18 -
A. Cousin 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 12 15 -
J. Clark 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 8 -
J. Wilkins 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 10 17 -
A. Rubin 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 8 13 -
J. Ekey 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 3 1 2 10 -
A. Hill 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 8 8 -
J. Carmichael 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 6 -
B. Mishler 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Smith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Blue 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Ryan 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 32 41 -
K. Lacey 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 2 7 -
C. Hopf 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 6 10 -
N. Cox 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 7 -
K. Harris 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 6 11 -
D. Holmes 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 4 9 -
L. Jones 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 13 15 -
T. Taylor 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
J. Jahr 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Peeler 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
P. van Tongeren 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter