🐻⬇️🏀

Illinois State Redbirds 67
@
Evansville Purple Aces 73
2011-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 24.2% 75.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Margin 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% - ✓

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +6 (73-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Tony Lewis 29 5-6 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 0 5 12 12 -
Anthony Cousin 29 4-6 2-3 2-3 1 4 0 0 2 12 9 -
Justin Clark 27 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
John Wilkins 27 3-6 3-5 1-2 5 1 0 2 1 10 11 -
Alex Rubin 22 2-5 2-5 2-2 1 2 2 0 0 8 8 -
Jon Ekey 21 0-5 0-3 2-2 3 2 1 3 1 2 5 -
Austin Hill 21 3-6 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 8 2 -
Jackie Carmichael 14 2-6 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
Blake Mishler 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Kenyon Smith 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Trey Blue 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Colt Ryan 37 8-17 3-6 13-14 6 2 2 0 1 32 24 -
Kavon Lacey 33 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 2 6 -
Clint Hopf 31 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
Ned Cox 25 2-9 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 -2 -
Kenneth Harris 20 2-6 0-0 2-5 3 1 2 0 1 6 5 -
Denver Holmes 18 0-4 0-1 4-6 3 3 0 0 1 4 5 -
Lewis Jones 13 5-7 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 13 8 -
Troy Taylor 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Jordan Jahr 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Matt Peeler 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Pieter van Tongeren 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter