Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Kennesaw State Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.5% | 0.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.5% | 0.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kennesaw State Owls -47 (41-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Clark * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +11.3 |
| Mick Hedgepeth * | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +7.4 |
| Drew Hanlen * | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +8.4 |
| Jon House * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +12.2 |
| Trevor Noack * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +7.8 |
| Scott Saunders | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | +22.1 |
| Kerron Johnson | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | +15.6 |
| J.J. Mann | 18 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Jordan Campbell | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.3 |
| Blake Jenkins | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +11.5 |
| Brandon Baker | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +4.0 |
| Adam Barnes | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +7.6 |
Kennesaw State Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelvin McConnell * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -20.0 |
| Spencer Dixon * | 25 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -3 | -3.8 |
| Markeith Cummings * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -9.9 |
| Matt Heramb * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -13.3 |
| LaDaris Green * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Aaron Anderson | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -19.0 |
| Romain Henry | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5.8 |
| Artie Marine | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Andrew Osemhen | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Nick Turner | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -15.6 |
| Brandon Dawson | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -9.3 |
| Mirza Sabic | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -6.8 |
| RJ Hall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.2 |
* = starter