Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +16 (84-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Henderson * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | +7.8 |
| Jeff Ledbetter * | 26 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Deremy Geiger * | 25 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Brandon Wiley * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Luiz Toledo * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Landon Tatum | 29 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -3.2 |
| Kyle Barone | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -18.3 |
| Joe Kammerer | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +3.5 |
| Stephen Madison | 13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -0.4 |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Wesley * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 25 | +9.7 |
| Brockeith Pane * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +14.0 |
| Tyler Newbold * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +7.0 |
| Nate Bendall * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +7.5 |
| Pooh Williams * | 22 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Brian Green | 26 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +2.8 |
| Brady Jardine | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2.8 |
| Matt Formisano | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.2 |
| E.J. Farris | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -10.0 |
| Morgan Grim | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Brad Brown | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.3 |
* = starter