Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +2 (82-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gibson * | 36 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| L. Wilkins * | 33 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| J. Hill * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| M. Johnson III * | 30 | 7-14 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| S. Franklin * | 28 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Paye | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Sims | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T.J. Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan White * | 36 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 9-11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Tony Bishop * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Travis Jones * | 28 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| John Bowman * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Eddie Rios | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Brooks Ybarra | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J.B. Conley | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Matt Staff | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Uriel Segura | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reid Koenen | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter