Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | Cleveland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland State Vikings +7 (64-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahmon Fletcher * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Daniel Turner * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 | +10.0 |
| Alec Brown * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Bryquis Perine * | 32 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | +8.8 |
| Jarvis Williams * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -15.5 |
| Seth Evans | 32 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Greg LeSage | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Steve Baker | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -6.1 |
Cleveland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norris Cole * | 37 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | +1.3 |
| Trey Harmon * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3.0 |
| Jeremy Montgomery * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +3.1 |
| Tim Kamczyc * | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +8.8 |
| Aaron Pogue * | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | -3.8 |
| Joe Latas | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Ludovic Ndaye | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -9.2 |
| Josh McCoy | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.3 |
* = starter