Model Predictions
| Model | South Florida Bulls | DePaul Blue Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: DePaul Blue Demons -10 (76-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Crater * | 35 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +4.7 |
| Hugh Robertson * | 34 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Augustus Gilchrist * | 30 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 13-15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 28 | +14.0 |
| Ron Anderson Jr. * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +14.7 |
| Shaun Noriega * | 19 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Jawanza Poland | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +16.3 |
| Jarrid Famous | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | -4.2 |
| Toarlyn Fitzpatrick | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3.3 |
| LaVonte Dority | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.9 |
| Shedrick Haynes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Mike Burwell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
DePaul Blue Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Kelly * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | -14.1 |
| Jimmy Drew * | 35 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -15.0 |
| Brandon Young * | 33 | 10-17 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 5 | -7.7 |
| Tony Freeland * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | -7.3 |
| Krys Faber * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Moses Morgan | 23 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -1.1 |
| Michael Bizoukas | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Mario Stula | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Mike Stovall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
* = starter