Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | San Diego Toreros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.9% | 1.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.9% | 1.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego Toreros -37 (31-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Gray * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Marquise Carter * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Elias Harris * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Robert Sacre * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Demetri Goodson * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| David Stockton | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Sam Dower | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mike Hart | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Manny Arop | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mathis Keita | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mathis Monninghoff | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Dorr * | 39 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darian Norris * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Devin Ginty * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -7 | - |
| Chris Manresa * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Harbour * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ken Rancifer | 23 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Chris Gabriel | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Cameron Miles | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Trevor Fuller | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dennis Kramer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mitch Woolpert | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter