Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs +19 (77-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn McDowell * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Brandon Britt * | 34 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | -1.7 |
| Julian Boatner * | 32 | 6-13 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | -8.9 |
| Marcus Kitts * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +6.7 |
| Kendrix Brown * | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Matt Rum | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -12.2 |
| JohnMark Ludwick | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Kyle Gaillard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Tim Rusthoven | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.3 |
| Fred Heldring | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Ben Whitlatch | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Doug Howard II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Andrew Pavloff | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Finney * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 4-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | +9.4 |
| Keyon Carter * | 31 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | +2.4 |
| Frank Hassell * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | +11.7 |
| Kent Bazemore * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Darius James * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4.3 |
| Trian Iliadis | 18 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +3.3 |
| Chris Cooper | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Marquel De Lancey | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Nick Wright | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Josh Hicks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Anton Larsen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter