Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Georgia Southern Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia Southern Eagles -15 (57-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Long * | 36 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | +1.4 |
| Ryley Beaumont * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Drew Spradlin * | 31 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 2-7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Terrance Birdette * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +15.0 |
| Scott Grable * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Lucas Troutman | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +5.6 |
| Sebastian Koch | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Jack Isenbarger | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -2.3 |
| Brett Ervin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Daniel Watts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Drayton III * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -9.7 |
| Zuri James * | 33 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -6.5 |
| Jelani Hewitt * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 1 | -8.9 |
| Cameron Baskerville * | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | -8.1 |
| Rory Spencer * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Eric Ferguson | 26 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | -0.2 |
| Justin Taylor | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Tre Bussey | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.7 |
| Marvin Baynham | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Sam Mike | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
* = starter