Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +15 (75-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamadou Seck * | 32 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Carlton Fay * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kendal Brown-Surles * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Diamond Taylor * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | - |
| John Freeman * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Justin Bocot | 25 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 5-8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Davante Drinkard | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Troy Long | 19 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Mykel Cleveland | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Lathan * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 9-13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Myles Walker * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Carter * | 24 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jake Odum * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Isiah Martin * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Printy | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Carl Richard | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Steve McWhorter | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| RJ Mahurin | 10 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Koang Doluony | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lucas Eitel | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Logan Eitel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter