Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +2 (64-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Walker * | 37 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Papa Dia * | 36 | 9-15 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Jeremiah Samarrippas * | 36 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Robert Nyakundi * | 28 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Collin Mangrum * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Harp | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aliaksei Patsevich | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Rodney Clinkscales | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Justin Haynes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damier Pitts * | 37 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| DeAndre Kane * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Johnny Thomas * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Nigel Spikes * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tirrell Baines * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Shaquille Johnson | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Dago Pena | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Aundra Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter