Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.4% | 21.6% | -7.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +4 (64-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Smith * | 40 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 40 | 6-19 | 1-7 | 9-10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Delaney * | 40 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Allen * | 39 | 7-18 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| V. Davila * | 39 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Bell * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| E. Green * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Eddie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Atkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Garland | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter