Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College Eagles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -19 (44-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Jackson * | 39 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | +4.6 |
| Corey Raji * | 35 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | +5.1 |
| John Cahill Jr. * | 35 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Biko Paris * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +5.8 |
| Joe Trapani * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Gabe Moton | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Josh Southern | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +0.1 |
| Dallas Elmore | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.2 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Zeglinski * | 36 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Joe Harris * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -4.3 |
| Assane Sene * | 31 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Mustapha Farrakhan * | 31 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -2 | -4.2 |
| Jontel Evans * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +6.8 |
| KT Harrell | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +2.8 |
| Akil Mitchell | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Will Sherrill | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.4 |
* = starter