Model Predictions
| Model | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -14 (68-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Valentine | 35 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Will Hudson | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Keith Benson | 30 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3-9 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Ledrick Eackles | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Travis Bader | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Larry Wright | 20 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Hamilton | 19 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Bass | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Ilija Milutinovic | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Joey Asbury | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Stevenett | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Brimley | 28 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Ray Jones, Jr. | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ramell Taylor | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Davis | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Matt Massey | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Matt Hodgson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Damon Heuir | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jake Nielson | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brian Cameron | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tyson Koehler | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Weirick | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter