Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +22 (63-41). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Stafford * | 37 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | -17.6 |
| Chase Hallam * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -8.9 |
| Travis Hallam * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -19.4 |
| Chris Udofia * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -13.2 |
| Kyle Lewis * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -15.4 |
| Tyler Thalken | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -9.0 |
| Trevor Noonan | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -4.7 |
| Blake Foeman | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Justin Coughlin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
| Alex Pickert | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh White * | 36 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +14.2 |
| Tristan Thompson * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +20.6 |
| George Odufuwa * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 | +15.6 |
| Shannon Shorter * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +10.0 |
| Dominique Johnson * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +12.0 |
| Kedrick Hogans | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +16.3 |
| Alonzo Edwards | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +5.4 |
| Jamie Egenti | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3.6 |
| Avery Redmond | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Ben Knox | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
* = starter