Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rice Owls -3 (68-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corvonn Gaines * | 38 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Jontae Sherrod * | 38 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | +4.5 |
| Jamar Abrams * | 30 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Darrius Morrow * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -6.7 |
| Erin Straughn * | 19 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Brock Young | 30 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | +14.5 |
| Robert Sampson | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +8.7 |
| Darius Morales | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2.8 |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Frizzelle * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Tamir Jackson * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +10.5 |
| Arsalan Kazemi * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 20 | +11.3 |
| Lucas Kuipers * | 29 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Bryan Beasley * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -14.9 |
| Cory Pflieger | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Trey Stanton | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +1.2 |
| Trevan Abraham | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -11.4 |
| Suleiman Braimoh | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -15.6 |
| David Chadwick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Nate Schwarze | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| J.R. Reynolds | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
* = starter