Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | Brown Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brown Bears +24 (100-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clive Weeden | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18 | -15.7 |
| R.J. Griffin | 32 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | -15.3 |
| Tyler Melville | 27 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | -15.1 |
| David Rufful | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -8.9 |
| Jabari Trotter | 19 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -14.6 |
| Ronnie Dixon | 18 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -16.9 |
| Gediminas Bertasius | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -15.7 |
| James Herring | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Nick Jackson | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -16.2 |
| Kevin Mulquin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Matt LaBove | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Jenieri Cyrus | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Kirk Crecco | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.1 |
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McGonagill | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | +13.3 |
| Garrett Leffelman | 26 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +27.1 |
| Adrian Williams | 25 | 8-13 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | +10.7 |
| Peter Sullivan | 25 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 10-10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | +15.4 |
| Tucker Halpern | 22 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +10.1 |
| Andrew McCarthy | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +15.7 |
| Chris Taylor | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +10.6 |
| Matt Sullivan | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3.1 |
| Josh Biber | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Dockery Walker | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Tyler Ponticelli | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
* = starter