Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers -11 (76-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Smith * | 40 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Jorge Gutierrez * | 39 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 17 | +5.5 |
| Allen Crabbe * | 38 | 8-12 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | +4.0 |
| Harper Kamp * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -3.5 |
| Markhuri Sanders-Frison * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | -2.8 |
| Richard Solomon | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +6.8 |
| Bak Bak | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Jeff Powers | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.6 |
| Emerson Murray | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Starks * | 33 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | +6.1 |
| Jared Cunningham * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +13.6 |
| Omari Johnson * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Devon Collier * | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | +10.4 |
| Angus Brandt * | 18 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -4.2 |
| Calvin Haynes | 20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -4.1 |
| Joe Burton | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6.4 |
| Lathen Wallace | 14 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -3 | -9.4 |
| Roberto Nelson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Kevin McShane | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Daniel Deane | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Chris Brown | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter