Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles +12 (69-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Lander * | 40 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 12-15 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 18 | -9.9 |
| Kaimarr Price * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Jelani Johnson * | 36 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Jack Houpt * | 35 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -3.4 |
| Arsenio Mims * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Mael Amenyedzi | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Abdou Niang | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -13.0 |
| Emeka Okafor Jr. | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.4 |
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Morrison * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +13.2 |
| Steven Roundtree * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | +12.0 |
| Warren Niles * | 27 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Damen Bell-Holter * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | +0.5 |
| Roderick Pearson, Jr. * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | +5.5 |
| Ken Holdman | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Tim Morton | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +8.6 |
| Kyron Stokes | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Hunter McClintock | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Robert Aery | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Alex Desir | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter