Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Miami (OH) RedHawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami (OH) RedHawks +7 (84-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordon Crawford * | 39 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +8.3 |
| Dee Brown * | 34 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +1.4 |
| A'uston Calhoun * | 32 | 8-18 | 3-5 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Scott Thomas * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Torian Oglesby * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Danny McElroy | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -0.3 |
| James Erger | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Joe Jakubowski | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.2 |
| Mike Dabney | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -9.0 |
| Craig Sealey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Luke Kraus | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.8 |
Miami (OH) RedHawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Mavunga * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 18 | +0.8 |
| Allen Roberts * | 38 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Orlando Williams * | 35 | 8-9 | 5-6 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 22 | +4.0 |
| Nick Winbush * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | -2.2 |
| Chris McHenry * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -3.6 |
| Quinten Rollins | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | +0.3 |
| Drew McGhee | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Josh Sewell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Jon Harris | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.4 |
* = starter