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2011-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.6% 83.4% - โœ“
Margin 9.0% 91.0% +12.7 โœ“ (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.9% 75.1% - โœ“

Actual: Princeton Tigers +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Noruwa Agho * 39 7-20 0-2 7-12 3 4 0 0 1 21 7 -
Brian Barbour * 38 6-10 1-1 5-5 2 1 3 0 4 18 10 -
Asenso Ampim * 37 2-11 0-0 5-7 15 0 1 2 3 9 13 -
Meiko Lyles * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Max Craig * 18 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Steve Frankoski 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Matt Johnson 14 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Zack Crimmins 8 4-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Danny Feldmann 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Dean Kowalski 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dan Mavraides * 34 4-11 2-6 4-4 4 2 2 0 4 14 7 -
Kareem Maddox * 31 7-13 0-0 6-7 8 2 0 1 1 20 17 -
Patrick Saunders * 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
Brendan Connolly * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bobby Foley * 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Ian Hummer 32 3-6 0-0 5-6 6 0 1 2 1 11 13 -
Doug Davis 27 3-11 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 7 -1 -
Mack Darrow 21 2-3 1-2 5-6 2 1 0 0 0 10 10 -
T.J. Bray 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
Will Barrett 11 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 2 1 2 0 2 9 -
Ben Hazel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter