Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | Princeton Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Princeton Tigers +5 (66-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noruwa Agho * | 39 | 7-20 | 0-2 | 7-12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Brian Barbour * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | +8.9 |
| Asenso Ampim * | 37 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Meiko Lyles * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9.2 |
| Max Craig * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
| Steve Frankoski | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +10.0 |
| Matt Johnson | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Zack Crimmins | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Danny Feldmann | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.5 |
| Dean Kowalski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.4 |
| Van Green | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Mavraides * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Kareem Maddox * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | +8.3 |
| Patrick Saunders * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Brendan Connolly * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.7 |
| Bobby Foley * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -7.4 |
| Ian Hummer | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Douglas Davis | 27 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | +7.9 |
| Mack Darrow | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +8.6 |
| T.J. Bray | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -9.1 |
| Will Barrett | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -11.5 |
| Ben Hazel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter