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Northern Iowa Panthers 55
@
Creighton Bluejays 63
2011-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% - ✓
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 ✓ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% - ✓

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +8 (63-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Moran 37 6-11 2-4 2-2 4 2 4 1 4 16 12 -
A. James 32 4-9 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 10 6 -
J. Koch 29 3-10 1-4 3-3 6 1 0 1 1 10 7 -
M. Sonnen 26 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
K. Ahelegbe 25 2-8 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 4 0 -
K. Dunham 22 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
A. Pehl 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
C. Rank 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Morrison 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Manigat 34 3-4 1-2 2-2 6 3 1 0 2 9 13 -
D. McDermott 29 5-8 2-2 1-4 3 0 1 0 1 13 8 -
K. Korver 29 2-2 2-2 1-2 2 5 0 1 1 7 12 -
A. Young 25 4-7 1-1 0-1 4 3 1 0 2 9 8 -
K. Lawson Jr. 20 4-11 0-2 3-5 4 0 1 0 1 11 4 -
J. Jones 18 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 8 2 -
G. Echenique 16 1-3 0-0 0-3 7 0 0 3 2 2 7 -
D. Ashford 15 1-4 0-1 1-1 1 2 0 1 0 3 3 -
W. Runnels 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 2 0 1 6 -

* = starter