Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays +8 (63-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Moran | 37 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Anthony James | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Jake Koch | 29 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Marc Sonnen | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +13.7 |
| Kwadzo Ahelegbe | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Kerwin Dunham | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3.5 |
| Austin Pehl | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -14.4 |
| Chip Rank | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Matt Morrison | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Lucas O'Rear | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahenns Manigat | 34 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | +7.5 |
| Doug McDermott | 29 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Kaleb Korver | 29 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +5.5 |
| Antoine Young | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +12.6 |
| Kenny Lawson Jr. | 20 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -6.0 |
| Josh Jones | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Gregory Echenique | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | +7.9 |
| Darryl Ashford | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -15.0 |
| Wayne Runnels | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2.1 |
* = starter