Model Predictions
| Model | NJIT Highlanders | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Dakota Fighting Hawks -7 (52-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
NJIT Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Kearse * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +14.0 |
| Isaiah Wilkerson * | 28 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +10.6 |
| Chris Flores * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +9.4 |
| Ryan Regis * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.5 |
| PJ Miller | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +4.0 |
| Arjun Ohri | 25 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +6.1 |
| Sean McCarthy | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Sammy Schickel | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.7 |
| Dytanya Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Will Bond | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Webb * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -7.3 |
| Troy Huff * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Brandon Brekke * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 22 | +1.5 |
| Josh Schuler * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -5.3 |
| Patrick Mitchell * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -10.5 |
| Aaron Anderson | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -8.6 |
| Chris Clausen | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3.5 |
| Jordan Allard | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8.1 |
| Derek Benter | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Nick Haugen | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
* = starter