Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Ole Miss Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ole Miss Rebels +5 (68-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Hines * | 33 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | -3.9 |
| Tony Mitchell * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -1.3 |
| JaMychal Green * | 29 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +0.7 |
| Charvez Davis * | 28 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +7.1 |
| Trevor Releford * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -2 | -5.4 |
| Andrew Steele | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -14.8 |
| Ben Eblen | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Senario Hillman | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -15.9 |
| Charles Hankerson Jr. | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +3.5 |
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Warren * | 39 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 9-11 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 14 | +6.6 |
| Zach Graham * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 22 | +9.2 |
| Terrance Henry * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | +3.4 |
| Reginald Buckner * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Dundrecous Nelson * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Nick Williams | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +18.6 |
| Steadman Short | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +9.7 |
| Trevor Gaskins | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.2 |
| Donald Williams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | +6.3 |
* = starter