Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Kansas City Roos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas City Roos -25 (57-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Botts * | 36 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | +11.2 |
| Zach Plackemeier * | 35 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +17.6 |
| Frank Gaines * | 29 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | +10.0 |
| Antwaun Boyd * | 23 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +8.5 |
| John Peckinpaugh * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Jeremy Mixon | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +7.6 |
| Trey McCorkle | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +11.0 |
| Jason Smeathers | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Oleg Kovalov | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Michael Kibiloski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.7 |
| Krste Ruiz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kansas City Roos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Chamberlain * | 36 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | -8.3 |
| Bakari Lewis * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | -10.2 |
| Spencer Johnson * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -13.0 |
| Max Rockmann * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | -16.3 |
| Jay Couisnard * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | -11.4 |
| Michael Gholston Jr. | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -10.1 |
| Dustin Dibble | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Trevor Mason | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -9.3 |
* = starter