Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +11 (62-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Clark * | 39 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 6 | -23.7 |
| Damian Saunders * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 18 | -18.6 |
| T.J. McConnell * | 33 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -13.6 |
| B.J. Monteiro * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | -21.3 |
| Mike Talley * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -13.2 |
| Sean Johnson | 23 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6.3 |
| Eric Evans | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.2 |
| Joel Wright | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Andre Marhold | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike McCall Jr. * | 32 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | +23.0 |
| Brian Conklin * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +13.6 |
| Kyle Cassity * | 27 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +22.0 |
| Dwayne Evans * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +9.8 |
| Cory Remekun * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +17.4 |
| Jordair Jett | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | +17.1 |
| Christian Salecich | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +9.2 |
| Rob Loe | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Paul Eckerle | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
* = starter