Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -7 (63-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stu Douglass * | 38 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Darius Morris * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Zack Novak * | 33 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Blake McLimans | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Colton Christian | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jon Horford | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Hoffarber * | 39 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Trevor Mbakwe * | 36 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Rodney Williams * | 32 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ralph Sampson III * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Colton Iverson * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Austin Hollins | 29 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Maverick Ahanmisi | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chip Armelin | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dominique Dawson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter