Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Northeastern Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northeastern Huskies +10 (78-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Rendleman * | 37 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | -0.5 |
| Chad Tomko * | 36 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | -1.6 |
| Donte Morales * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -7.8 |
| Tanner Milson * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -19.2 |
| Ahmad Grant * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -11.8 |
| Trevor Deloach | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Darryl Felder | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Matt Wilson | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Matthew Wallace | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.1 |
| Shane Reybold | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.3 |
Northeastern Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lee * | 35 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Chaisson Allen * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Joel Smith * | 35 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +7.4 |
| Ben Felix * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -4.7 |
| Kauri Black | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | +16.6 |
| Alex Harris | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Ryan Pierson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| Dinko Marshavelski | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Vinny Lima | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4.3 |
| Alex Bates | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
* = starter