Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Holy Cross Crusaders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +13 (89-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Knutson * | 33 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Mackey McKnight * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Holden Greiner * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Michael Ojo * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 37 | 5-17 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Prentice Small | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kevin McCarthy | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| David Safstrom | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rob Keefer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony D'Orazio | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Brown * | 35 | 8-15 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Mike Cavataio * | 33 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Keister * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 28 | - |
| Andrew Beinert * | 27 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Eric Obeysekere * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Stevens | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Dee Goens | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Josh Jones | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Dave Dudzinski | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joe O'Shea | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charlie Mills | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Harris | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter