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2011-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 54.6% 45.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% -
Margin 30.7% 69.3% +4.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Log Adjusted 22.0% 78.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Parsons * 37 6-11 1-3 2-3 8 7 0 0 1 15 18 -
E. Walker * 36 2-11 1-6 5-5 5 3 2 0 2 10 7 -
V. Macklin * 31 5-10 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 10 4 -
K. Boynton * 29 7-13 5-9 2-2 2 4 0 0 1 21 13 -
A. Tyus * 21 4-9 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
P. Young 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 4 -
S. Wilbekin 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 2 -
E. Murphy 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Prather 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
W. Yeguete 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Poole, Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Knight * 37 5-10 2-3 4-5 0 6 0 0 0 16 12 -
D. Miller * 35 9-15 2-4 4-5 5 3 0 3 1 24 19 -
J. Harrellson * 34 3-6 0-1 0-0 12 1 0 0 1 6 12 -
D. Lamb * 30 6-9 2-4 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
T. Jones * 28 4-11 0-1 0-2 9 1 1 2 2 8 8 -
D. Liggins 27 3-7 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
E. Vargas 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
J. Hood 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter