Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +8 (76-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Parsons * | 37 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | +3.8 |
| Erving Walker * | 36 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Vernon Macklin * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -8.2 |
| Kenny Boynton * | 29 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | -1.4 |
| Alex Tyus * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Patric Young | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Scottie Wilbekin | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +3.2 |
| Erik Murphy | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +5.0 |
| Casey Prather | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Will Yeguete | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.2 |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Darius Miller * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 19 | +9.4 |
| Josh Harrellson * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +7.3 |
| Doron Lamb * | 30 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +15.0 |
| Terrence Jones * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +1.4 |
| DeAndre Liggins | 27 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Eloy Vargas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Jon Hood | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Stacey Poole, Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter