Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +10 (66-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Daniel | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -14.1 |
| Justin Stommes | 31 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Spencer Perrin | 28 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | -11.8 |
| Jeff Johnson | 27 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Jaron Jones | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Devin McDonald | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Willie Cruz | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +8.3 |
| Taylor Filipek | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Jabs Newby | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -5.2 |
| Jeff Allgood | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.5 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isacc Miles | 35 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | +3.8 |
| B.J. Jenkins | 34 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 22 | +7.5 |
| Jeffery McClain | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +10.0 |
| Isaiah Canaan | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Jewuan Long | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +4.7 |
| Ivan Aska | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7.3 |
| Ed Daniel | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +3.6 |
| Donte Poole | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -2.4 |
| Chris Griffin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Picasso Simmons | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.5 |
* = starter