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2011-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% -
Margin 44.8% 55.2% +1.1 (24.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +26 (90-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Simons * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 7 10 -
R. Rice * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 14 19 -
S. VanDeest * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 4 11 -
J. Clarke * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 7 11 -
R. Wedel * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 2 4 -
K. Alexander 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 15 22 -
K. Woods 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
A. Hawley 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
R. Uhlenhopp 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
D. Smith 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 5 -
C. Parker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Whitaker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Warren * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 5 4 0 0 33 53 -
D. Dunson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 7 1 0 1 17 30 -
D. Simms-Edwards * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 3 15 20 -
J. Prosser * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 7 -
W. Egolf * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 0 11 21 -
W. Lemon Jr. 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 5 6 8 -
J. Eastman 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Knezevic 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Thompson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Woods 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Player #52966 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter