Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters +8 (70-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayron Hardy * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | -26.5 |
| Delwan Graham * | 31 | 1-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -13.6 |
| Tevin Galvin * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -8.1 |
| Russell Powell * | 27 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -11.7 |
| Travis Cohn * | 26 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | -5.7 |
| Keith McDougald | 19 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -9.2 |
| Aloys Cabell | 12 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -13.5 |
| Glenn Powell | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -15.6 |
| Shamile Jeffers | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Keion Palmer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.2 |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Jacobo * | 40 | 8-19 | 5-9 | 7-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 26 | +17.2 |
| Joel Naburgs * | 37 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +22.1 |
| Ridge Graham * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 1 | +23.3 |
| Tyshawn Patterson * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | +12.2 |
| Graeme Radford * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5.4 |
| Steve Forbes | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +22.5 |
| Aaron Graham | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +10.0 |
| Liam McInerney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
| J.R. Weston | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter