Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | Yale Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Yale Bulldogs +1 (70-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver McNally * | 38 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -10.3 |
| Keith Wright * | 38 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -11.5 |
| Brandyn Curry * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -12.2 |
| Christian Webster * | 33 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 15 | -4.6 |
| Kyle Casey * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | -19.3 |
| Laurent Rivard | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +3.1 |
| Jeff Georgatos | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.5 |
| Ugo Okam | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Matt Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Morgan * | 36 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +7.2 |
| Reggie Willhite * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 20 | +19.6 |
| Porter Braswell * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +19.2 |
| Greg Mangano * | 32 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 16 | +12.8 |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +15.3 |
| Jesse Pritchard | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Isaiah Salafia | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Rhett Anderson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Michael Grace | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.2 |
* = starter