Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +2 (91-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Thompson * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | +9.5 |
| Gary Johnson * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Cory Joseph * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +5.4 |
| Jordan Hamilton * | 30 | 7-24 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 9 | +10.1 |
| Dogus Balbay * | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -0.6 |
| J'Covan Brown | 27 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | +8.7 |
| Matt Hill | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +8.0 |
| Jai Lucas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burks * | 36 | 10-21 | 1-6 | 12-20 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 25 | +5.4 |
| Cory Higgins * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -11.3 |
| Marcus Relphorde * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -5.4 |
| Nate Tomlinson * | 27 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +9.6 |
| Austin Dufault * | 23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -1.1 |
| Andre Roberson | 26 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 21 | -5.3 |
| Levi Knutson | 26 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Shannon Sharpe | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.4 |
* = starter