Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +16 (62-46). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Lockett * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | -3.5 |
| Chanse Creekmur * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Ty Abbott * | 24 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -2.6 |
| Jamelle McMillan * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9.1 |
| Kyle Cain * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.3 |
| Keala King | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +9.2 |
| Carrick Felix | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +10.2 |
| Ruslan Pateev | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Corey Hawkins | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.6 |
| Jordan Bachynski | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.5 |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic * | 36 | 7-11 | 3-3 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 20 | +2.1 |
| Alex Stepheson * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 18 | -2.4 |
| Donte Smith * | 32 | 3-12 | 3-12 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +3.8 |
| Jio Fontan * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +6.9 |
| Marcus Simmons * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Maurice Jones | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Garrett Jackson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| James Dunleavy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
* = starter