Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Payne | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 31 | - |
| Todd Lowenthal | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Miller | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 40 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alex Tiffin | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Howley | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Les | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Josh Ritchart | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joe Harden | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mike Kurtz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Borum | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Kareem Nitoto | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Kevin Bradshaw | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Phil Martin | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 27 | - |
| B.J. Shearry | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Daymond Cowlah | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Elliott Berry | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tyquan Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Delonte Taylor | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter