Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +4 (85-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Payne | 39 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | -0.8 |
| Todd Lowenthal | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | -6.7 |
| Eddie Miller | 35 | 13-21 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 19 | -0.6 |
| Ryan Sypkens | 26 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | -4.8 |
| Alex Tiffin | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Ryan Howley | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -6.2 |
| Tyler Les | 8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +9.7 |
| Josh Ritchart | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -5.3 |
| Joe Harden | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Mike Kurtz | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Borum | 35 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Kevin Bradshaw | 33 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | -0.9 |
| Kareem Nitoto | 33 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1.5 |
| Phil Martin | 31 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | +10.0 |
| B.J. Shearry | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | +6.8 |
| Daymond Cowlah | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -6.1 |
| Elliott Berry | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Tyquan Brown | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Delonte Taylor | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.0 |
* = starter