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2011-02-26

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 62.5% 37.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% -
Margin 41.5% 58.5% +1.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% -
Log Adjusted 34.0% 66.0% -

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Payne 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 5 1 0 2 18 31 -
T. Lowenthal 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 8 1 1 1 0 14 -
E. Miller 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 35 40 -
R. Sypkens 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
A. Tiffin 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 2 8 -
R. Howley 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 8 -
T. Les 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 9 -
J. Ritchart 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
J. Harden 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
M. Kurtz 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Borum 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 2 0 2 5 15 -
K. Nitoto 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 1 2 12 22 -
K. Bradshaw 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 23 28 -
P. Martin 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 21 27 -
B.J. Shearry 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 1 10 20 -
D. Cowlah 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 9 9 -
E. Berry 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
T. Brown 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 1 3 -
D. Taylor 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter