Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans +12 (72-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olu Ashaolu * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 3-11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | -1.5 |
| Kenyon McNeail * | 34 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -4.7 |
| C.J. Scott * | 30 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Lonnie Smith * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.6 |
| Romario Souza * | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Cordarius Johnson | 20 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Antwond Roshell | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Tevin Hall | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.1 |
| J.L. Lewis | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.1 |
| James Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1.7 |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Graham * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -1.0 |
| Adrian Oliver * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +5.5 |
| Matt Ballard * | 35 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Keith Shamburger * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Wil Carter * | 28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | -4.7 |
| Calvin Douglas | 19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +6.8 |
| Garrett Ton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.8 |
| Joe Henson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.4 |
| Chris Jones | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2.1 |
* = starter