Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | +2.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Emery * | 40 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Fredette * | 40 | 8-23 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 12 | - |
| N. Hartsock * | 39 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| C. Abouo * | 34 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| B. Davies * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Rogers | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Collinsworth | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Anderson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 35 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 34 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 20 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B. White * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Rahon | 27 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Shelton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter