Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -13 (67-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Emery * | 40 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | +13.2 |
| Jimmer Fredette * | 40 | 8-23 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 12 | +15.1 |
| Noah Hartsock * | 39 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 19 | +16.0 |
| Charles Abouo * | 34 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | +6.5 |
| Brandon Davies * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | +11.6 |
| Stephen Rogers | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Kyle Collinsworth | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.4 |
| James Anderson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.4 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 35 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -11.7 |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 34 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 20 | -7.9 |
| Malcolm Thomas * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | -14.0 |
| Chase Tapley * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Billy White * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -3.3 |
| James Rahon | 27 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -12.1 |
| Tim Shelton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Brian Carlwell | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +0.8 |
* = starter