Model Predictions
| Model | Weber State Wildcats | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -3 (70-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Hughey | 38 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Scott Bamforth | 36 | 5-13 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Kyle Bullinger | 36 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -7.2 |
| Byron Fulton | 32 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | -18.3 |
| Darin Mahoney | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +8.1 |
| Trevor Morris | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Jordan Richardson | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -14.0 |
| Kyle Tresnak | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9.4 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sultan Toles-Bey | 39 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | +0.4 |
| Duro Bjegovic | 36 | 7-19 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 9 | +12.8 |
| Walter Jackson | 30 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +3.8 |
| Jackson Carbajal | 23 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +10.5 |
| Heath Hoffman | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Alpha N'Diaye | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +10.0 |
| John Dickson | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -7.4 |
| Josh McCarver | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
* = starter