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2011-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 โœ— (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 59.9% 40.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 75.6% 24.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 62.8% 37.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 62.4% 37.6% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers -2 (55-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rotnei Clarke * 37 6-12 3-7 2-2 3 2 1 0 3 17 8 -
Marcus Britt * 28 4-7 2-5 0-0 7 2 1 1 0 10 14 -
Delvon Johnson * 25 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
Marshawn Powell * 19 0-4 0-1 4-4 1 2 1 1 2 4 3 -
Jeff Peterson * 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
Julysses Nobles 29 1-7 0-0 2-4 3 2 0 0 4 4 -2 -
Michael Sanchez 22 2-4 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 3 7 2 -
Glenn Bryant 14 2-5 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
Mardracus Wade 10 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 2 1 -1 -
Marvell Waithe 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Earnest Ross * 37 5-9 1-4 0-0 7 1 2 0 2 11 10 -
Josh Wallace * 33 3-8 1-2 2-2 2 5 2 1 3 9 8 -
Kenny Gabriel * 26 5-16 1-4 2-2 3 0 2 1 1 13 2 -
Adrian Forbes * 19 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 1 2 -
Allen Payne * 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Chris Denson 26 2-6 0-1 4-4 4 3 2 0 1 8 10 -
Rob Chubb 21 3-6 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 2 1 9 6 -
Tony Neysmith 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
Josh Langford 14 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 1 0 -

* = starter