Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -2 (55-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotnei Clarke * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Marcus Britt * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | -4.0 |
| Delvon Johnson * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Marshawn Powell * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Jeff Peterson * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +7.5 |
| Julysses Nobles | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | -13.4 |
| Michael Sanchez | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | -6.9 |
| Glenn Bryant | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Mardracus Wade | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -0.9 |
| Marvell Waithe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnest Ross * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +7.1 |
| Josh Wallace * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Kenny Gabriel * | 26 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | +5.1 |
| Adrian Forbes * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1.6 |
| Allen Payne * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -4.7 |
| Chris Denson | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +6.3 |
| Rob Chubb | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3.9 |
| Tony Neysmith | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +6.5 |
| Josh Langford | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter