Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -2 (55-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Clarke * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| M. Britt * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Powell * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Peterson * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Nobles | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| G. Bryant | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Wade | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| M. Waithe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ross * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Wallace * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Gabriel * | 26 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| A. Forbes * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Payne * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Denson | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Chubb | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Neysmith | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Langford | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter